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You are here: Home / Economists Survey: 74% See US Recession by End of 2021

Economists Survey: 74% See US Recession by End of 2021

A strong majority, 74%, of U.S. business economists appear sufficiently concerned about the risks of some of President Donald Trump’s economic policies that they expect a recession in the U.S. by the end of 2021. The economists surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics, in a report released Monday, mostly didn’t share Trump’s optimistic outlook for the economy, though they generally saw recession coming later than they did in a survey taken in February. Thirty-four percent of the economists surveyed said they believe a slowing economy will tip into recession in 2021. That’s up from 25% in the February survey. Another 38% of those polled predicted that recession will occur next year, down slightly from 42% in February. Only 2% of those polled expect a recession to begin this year. In February, 77% of the economists expected a recession either this year, next year or in 2021. Stocks fell sharply Wednesday as the bond market flashed a recession warning for the first time since 2007. (Published Wednesday, Aug. 14, 2019) A strong economy is key to the Republican president’s 2020 re-election prospects. Consumer confidence has dropped 6.4% since July. Trump has dismissed concerns about a recession, offering an optimistic… Read full this story

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